Here are my Oscar Picks, with a couple of Qualifiers..
Letters from Iwo Jima
I'm picking this against my Gut Feeling which is that maybe, just MAYBE Little Miss Sunshine could take it. It would be like Crash last year - Brokeback was the sure thing, but Crash came out of nowhere.
Martin Scorcese - The Departed. Why? It's his time.
Forest Whitaker - Last King of Scotland. You can't stem the Tide. I agree with Hobson tho'.. O'Toole should win, since he had the better performance. I wouldn't count out Will Smith either.
Helen Mirren - The Queen. Again, you can't stem the tide. However Judi Dench SHOULD win, her performance was incredible.
Best Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Hudson - Dreamgirls. See above. Momentum is there. Although, If Abigail Breslin won for Little Miss Sunshine I wouldn't swear at the Academy.
Best Supporting Actor:
It really pains me to say this.. Eddie Murphy - Dreamgirls. Mark Wahlberg will get the Fuzzy End of the Lollipop this year.
So, those are mine.. What are yours?